The Price Spread Between Futures Contracts Continues to Widen, with Morning Market Premiums Steadily Rising [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Published: Feb 11, 2025 13:59
[SMM Spot Copper] During the day, mainstream standard-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to on-par prices against the front-month contract, while high-quality copper was quoted at on-par prices to a premium of 20 yuan/mt. According to market sources, due to the widening price spread between futures contracts, suppliers registered a large amount of inventory as warehouse warrants before the delivery of the SHFE 2502 copper contract. Spot trading activity after the holiday remained lackluster. It is expected that spot prices will continue to hover around parity tomorrow.

SMM, February 11:

Today, #1 copper cathode spot prices against the SHFE 2502 contract were quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to a premium of 20 yuan/mt, with the average price at parity (yuan/mt), up 5 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Standard-quality copper traded at 76,800–77,120 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper traded at 76,820–77,140 yuan/mt. The SHFE 2502 copper contract jumped initially and then pulled back during the morning session, testing 77,360 yuan/mt at the opening before fluctuating downward, and hitting 76,820 yuan/mt after the first trading session. The price spread between the SHFE 2502 and 2503 contracts fluctuated between C210 and C230 yuan/mt.

Spot premiums steadily increased during the day, with suppliers showing low willingness to sell at lower prices. At the opening, mainstream standard-quality copper was quoted at parity (yuan/mt) to a premium of 20 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 10–30 yuan/mt. Downstream effective demand was not fully released, and although inventory decreased, cargo pick-up remained primarily driven by rigid demand. During the mainstream trading session, premiums were basically flat compared to the previous day. Mainstream standard-quality copper was traded at a discount of 20–10 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper was traded at parity (yuan/mt) to a premium of 20 yuan/mt. Hydro copper saw limited transactions at a discount of around 100 yuan/mt. By 11:00 a.m., spot premiums stabilized.

According to market sources, due to the widened price spread, suppliers registered a large amount of inventory as warehouse warrants before the delivery of the SHFE 2502 copper contract. Post-holiday spot trading activity remained moderate. Spot prices are expected to remain around parity tomorrow.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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The Price Spread Between Futures Contracts Continues to Widen, with Morning Market Premiums Steadily Rising [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)